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|Ive talked about betting major league baseball Terry OReilly Jersey , and it seems that with the sun out
and many ballgames on every day, we should take a more in-depth look at the
considerable opportunities for bettors that this sport offers.
Lets quickly recap the idea behind moneylines. When you bet against the spread,
you wager either that an underdog will either win outright or lose by less than a certain
margin, or that a favorite will win by more than that margin. Against the spread, you
generally lay -110 (risk $110 to win $100). With moneylines, you either pick the favorite
and risk (x) to win $100, or pick the underdog and risk $100 to win (x). For instance,
with the moneyline New England -160, Indianapolis +140, yo u could risk $160 to win
$100 if New England won, or you could risk $100 to win $140 if Indianapolis won. The
point is, when you bet on a moneyline, you pick which team will win the game outright.
In a sense, runlines combine the two types of wagers. The spread is always -1.5
for the favorite. Why, you ask? Since baseball games cannot end in a tie (disregard the
All-Star Game two years ago; it doesnt count) a spread of -.5 would have no impact, and
because about a quarter of all MLB games are decided by one run, a spread of -1 would
result in a push a large portion of the time. Whereas in basketball and football the wager
is fixed (-$110) and the spread moves to balance action Ray Bourque Jersey , in baseball it is the spread that is
fixed (-1.5) and the wager mo ves depending on which teams are drawing bets. Thus, the
favorite is forced to win by two runs. When wagering on runlines, both listed pitchers
must start, and the game must go 8.5 innings.
As you can see, the only time there is a difference between the runline and
moneyline results for a game is when the favorite wins by exactly one run. In exchange
for assuming the extra risk of wagering on a runline favorite (the risk being that they will
win by one run only, and thus lose the bet) bettors get a much more lucrative payout than
they would on the moneyline. Conversely, while betting the dog gives you a greater
likelihood of winning (one-run losses are a winning bet) the payouts are not as large as
they would have been if youd bet the moneyline and your underdog had won outright.
Each type of wager will have value in different situations; the key is finding an
opportunity to use both types of lines, adding yet another tool to your arsenal. Each can
be very effective in the right situation.
Lets look at a few situations where one type of wager or the other would be
prudent. We get a lot of runline action on the favorites in big spreads. If you expect
Dontrelle Willis and the Marlins to blow out the Royals by five runs, why risk $300 to
win $100 on the moneyline when you could bet them at -1.5 (-160), nearly cutting your
risk in half? However, if you think a game will be close but youre confident one team
will win, or youre confident the underdog will win outright, perhaps the moneyline is the
way to go.
Make sure youre maximizing the resources available to you. Take a look at stats
that other bettors wont even think about. For instance, every bettor with internet access
has access to a teams record in one-run games, but very few take advantage of this
useful tool. Who would have guessed that at the time this article was written, the
Washington Nationals, only 3-3 in extra inning games Phil Esposito Jersey , would be a startling 17-7 in onerun
games? Check out the expanded standings at ESPN for all these details and
Finally, I should mention that on occasion youll find a player trying to guarantee
himself a profit by betting the favorite on the runline and the underdog on the moneyline
in the same game. For example, if the Cubs are -1.5 (+120) on the runline and the Mets
are +160 on the moneyline, betting $100 on both would guarantee a profit of either $20
or $60 as long as the Cubs dont win by a single run (resulting in a loss of $200). This
tactic can be extremely risky, and while there is only one outcome that will result in a
loss, you stand to lose much more than you stand to win. If youre confident a runline
favorite wont win by a single run though, then you may want to consider trying this
crafty maneuver. Look for teams with very few one-run games. At this point in time, the
Yankees, for instance, have only had 10 of their 68 games end with a margin of one run.
Runlines are growing in popularity, but for many years, have played second fiddle
to moneylines. This is in large part due to the fact that many bettors simply do not
understand how runlines work and when they give the bettor an advantage. By educating
yourself as to their value, you open up a huge opportunity for wagers that can
considerably add to ones bankroll.
If you are thinking about wagering online visit http:www.gosportsbet and they will provide you with a $25 free no-deposit required wager.
Author's Resource Box
Sam Jones is the business manager at EZCapper. He has over 15 years experience in sports handicapping and operating successful online businesses. He holds an MBA in marketing from the University of British Columbia in Canada.